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Business models

The 5 Lessons to Learn from Kodak’s Demise

My first camera was an Kodak. It was one of those nifty new “instant film cameras” – I was probably about 10 years old. So amazing – take a picture and the film comes right out the bottom. I loved it. I took pictures of everyone, everywhere. It was my first love of photography, as crazy as that sounds. Something about the instant gratification – you can see what you just snapped. No dark room, no film store drop off (remember those places?). Just a picture in your hand.

What I didn’t know at the time was anything about the camera market. For example, that Polaroid launched the first instant film camera and Kodak copied it and went through what ended up to be a 10 year legal battle over the copyright to the instant film. The sad end to the story was that Kodak was forced to discontinue making the film for my beloved camera because they were late to the game and couldn’t copy the technology without copyright infringement. Maybe it was foreshadowing for the recent news – the king of film files for bankruptcy protection.

In my opinion, the “what happened” is not a story of 35mm film going by the wayside and putting them into bankruptcy. It’s a story of what happens when you:

  1. drink too much of your own koolaide
  2. don’t anticipate what the customer needs
  3. have blinders on when it comes to the competition
  4. stop paying attention to how technology and your market are changing
  5. forget that you can become a commodity (see #1 & #3)

Had Kodak perhaps kept their eye on Fuji and their Japanese competitors, listened and anticipated the trend to digital and put egos and boardrooms and the way it was always done aside, perhaps they would be in a different place today. The wikipedia page mentions

However despite high growth, Kodak failed to anticipate how fast these digital cameras would become commodities, with low profit margins, as more companies entered the market in the mid-2000s. Also, an ever-smaller percentage of digital pictures were being taken on digital cameras, being gradually displaced in the late 2000s by cellphones and tablets‘ cameras. In 2001 Kodak held the No. 2 spot in U.S. digital camera sales behind number one Sony, but Kodak lost $60 USD on every camera sold. The film business, where Kodak had enjoyed high profit margins, fell 18% in 2005. The combination of these two factors resulted in disappointing profits overall.[17] Kodak’s digital cameras soon became undercut by Asian competitors that could produce their offerings more cheaply. In 2007 Kodak was No. 4 in U.S. digital camera sales with a 9.6 percent share but it has lost ground since then, and by 2010 it held 7 percent in seventh place behind Canon, Sony, Nikon and others, according to research firm IDC. [19]

It’s easy to say: we’ve always made this widget, so we’re going to keep making this widget and people will buy it. When suddenly your competition, who you never really paid attention to, starts making your widget even better and sells it for less. Some call that eating your lunch. I call it taking your eye off the ball. You know what happens when you take your eye off the ball…you miss it.

Listen to your customers. Pay attention to your market. Understand price pressure and how it could squeeze your profit margins. Understand this crazy dynamically changing technological world we live in. Eat and breathe it. It’s okay to think your company or your product is all that and a bag of chips. Just be sure that in your passion and love for what you do and what you’re building, you are looking for those indicators that, if missed, could one day put you out of business. RIP Kodak. I miss my instant film and it’s sad to see what was once such a dominant brand be shelved just like my camera.

When will that tweet cost you?

I suppose it’s inevitable. There’s that old thing about, hm, what’s that? Oh, right Making Money. The bacon, the benjamins, the bill-payer, the thing that keeps companies alive and growing. It’s one of the trickiest nuts for all of these social media companies to crack (R.I.P. matchmine). I always wondered how Twitter would foray into the world of trying to pay their own way. Would they go the advertising route? Hard to do with all that user generated content. Would they offer an ad opt-out? They could charge a fee to users who choose to opt-out of ads. But how many people pay not to see ads? Right. Okay, so they could do a subscription model for users. Charge some sort of flat monthly fee based on usage (# of tweets, # of followers, direct messages). I suppose that could work but I have a feeling some other social media community site like Yammer would show up with no fees and eat their lunch.

So, maybe the best option is to go after the deep pockets. There are a whole bunch of companies like Zappos, Amazon and GoDaddy who have figured out the benefits of using Twitter to get real-time, real-honest feedback about their products and services. These companies are getting their social media on and creating loyalty, providing great service and connecting with their users – all free of charge. Brilliant! Why bother supporting an internal chat function or a room full of service reps when you can go directly to your users by creating a Twitter account?

Wonder how long it will be before Twitter starts to charge someone for something. The economy has made VCs more cautious about dishing out dollars and I’d be curious to know a) how much runway Twitter has with their existing funding and b) how much additional money they could raise without revenue either in-sight or in-pocket. So, Twitter, what’s it going to be?

And as for you, dear reader, any projections?

Microblogging is the new black

It’s hard to keep up. First brown was the new black, then eggplant, then came Facebook and now microblogging. You’re in right? Do you know what the hell microblogging is? Okay, let’s start by answering a few simple questions: Are you on Twitter? Yammer? Pownce (no, not the cat food)? Do you religiously update your status on Facebook? Do you know how to fit your most clever thoughts into 140 characters or less? If you answered yes to one or more of these questions then you are a microblogger. Cool! If you answered, no, where have you been hiding? Go get yourself a Twitter account and check it out. I will tell you that when I first started tweeting last fall, I was completely intimidated. I thought, who the heck cares what I’m having for lunch? The amazing thing is that people do. Well, maybe care is a strong word, but people love to learn about other people. Whether you’re in the mix tweeting up a storm, or watching from the sidelines, microblogging, as it’s called, is where it’s at.

Today, I read the Business Week post on my friends over at Blip.fm. I worked with Jeff and his team while I was at matchmine (RIP). The guys at Blip are really on to something. They started with Fuzz.com – a site that connects artists with fans and has a whole bunch of cool indie music. As the Twitter started to gain momentum, they decided to integrate music with tweeting and, viola, Blip.fm was born. You can think of it almost as a twitter for music, which is brilliant because I can share music with my friends on Twitter and meet other people (they call them DJs) who share my taste in music.

The microblogging space will continue to get more interesting as companies begin adding unique features (like music, photos, video) to the standard short message. They say full-featured microblogging will be the next big thing. What do you think?